Astrology and match prediction

I have seen an astrological prediction of Ind vs WI 1st ODI. It is from the biggest astrological house of India http://www.ganeshaspeaks.com/blog_West_Indies_vs_India_ODI_Series_1st_ODI_Predictions_3241.jsp

Being a student of astrology, I do not know how to predict the result of a match. So I was curious to know the methodology in stead of the end result. The blog does not describe why it thinks so. The site does not own the result, rather it is the view of the individual astrologer. The prediction has three parts.

1) Key players: I do not understand what Ganesha speaks means by key players. Does it mean they are the players who will play a key role in the said match, or Ganesha speaks took the key player's horoscope to predict the match. So I reserve my view on the prediction.

2) TOSS PREDICTION: Any random guess will make it 50 percent correct. Prediction less than than is not acceptable.I have not seen enough prediction from Ganesha speaks on toss to validate the claim. However WI won the toss and the prediction went wrong.

3) Match Prediction: This can be better than 50 percent. WI team without Gayle is most probable going to loose the match. India will win the series 3-2/4-1/5-0. So India's win has a success rate of 60 to 100 percent. Astrologer have not given India will win by wickets or runs. If so what is the margin. How the match will shape up? When will team loose wicket etc. I understand it is more difficult to give the minor details than to predict who is going to win. But minor details can make your prediction credible. Anybody with a fair interest in cricket can predict the match with more than 60 percent probability.

So I would request the following from the Ganesha speaks team if the want to predict any further match.

1) Let the Ganesha speaks own the result predicted by their team member. The site and its owners do not undertake any responsibility for the correctness or accuracy of the same. How do the common people believe on the team and their correctness. Let us be honest and accept you are not able to give 100 percent correct result.

2) Give a brief analysis on how you concluded the results. Probable you are not interested in that as you are not here to teach astrology but to do business. Your explanation will give you more business as it gives reason behind your claim. It is not like you are making some claim which has a probability of more than 50 percent.

3) Let you predict toss for lots of match and publish it at a specific place. So one can see how many toss prediction has gone right. A single toss prediction right or wrong does not yield any value.

4) Be more clear on key player.

5) Give more detailed analysis. India will win the match is of little credibility where as WI will score something between 200 to 230. India will win it by 4-5 wickets. 3rd and 5th wicket stand will be crucial. There will be 2 half centuries. If team can give those predictions, the prediction is more credible and will sell to the people.

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Astrology and Probability

Astrology is about probability and correlation. The believers and nonbelievers treat it alike. Believers claim how some prediction has come true and how some astrologer is about to predict her details etc. Where as non believers say how some astrologer is not able to predict it. And how astrology is all wrong.

But astrology is about probability and correlation. It is about getting most of the predictions right. It is never about predicting everything right. Famous astrologer Dr. B V Raman made some mistake in his prediction. I do not have access to the all the predictions of the great astrologer Parasar. I am sure he also would have made some mistakes. It is like weather prediction, which can not be hundred percent accurate.

The great sage Vasistha has made wrong prediction for the muhurta when Ram will be the king resulting Rama going to forest for 14 years in stead of being made king of Ayodhya. Lord Brahma has made wrong prediction for the Muhurta when the Khandav Forest has to be implanted resulting an end to the Khandav. So astrology is prone to error and nobody can tell with certainty that this is going to happen. It is not like when you add alkali to acid, it gives salt water, or when a fruit falls from the tree, it is going to hit the ground. Rather it is most likely it is going to happen. Some of the facts can be told with a higher probability.

Astrology and Engineering: Analysis and Synthesis

I would look astrology as a pure science where research is based on analysis and synthesis. Current astrology is about going and reading what is already present and it does not add much to the glossary. It either refers Parashar or Jemini or mix of both for doing analysis (both are great guys kind of Newton and Einstein of Astrology). if we look at the current physics, we look at Newton or Einstein as a great scientist, but science does not stop there. But astrology do not proceed much beyond them. BPHS (brihat parashara hora shastra) is still the most widely accepted book among astrologer. Not all astrologers predict as per BPHS only, but not many are trying to quantify when to follow BPHS and when not to. And they tell it as mix of science and arts.

Future research needs to quantify it and tell how to follow the details. Astrology is based on stochastic theory and probabilistic model. It needs to auto correct after adding random sample data.

For example, foreign trip was bad in past and people who cant afford to stay at home are using it. Now it is a part of luxury and prestige. So astrology needs correct itself for foreign trips. Marriage is an institution in India, but it is just staying together at some of the countries. SO one needs to analyze accordingly.

Vimsottari dasha is most widely accepted Dasha, but not all predictions coming from Vimsottari dasha are right. Researcher need to figure out when it coming wrong, and what Dasha should be used.

Astrology and Engineering- Conflict resolution

I need an application which is secure, fast, user friendly, scalable, robust, available with minimum investment. Hey, I was talking about the dream requirement from any investor who wants to invest in IT. He wants it safe and he wants fast. Sending data over https makes it slower than normal http. He wants the application to be available all the time and wants it an minimum investment. Zero downtime means more investment on software and hardware (how is not the scope of the discussion). So the software requirements are conflicting among themselves. So one needs to understand the details to propose a solution.

Horoscope is the reverse of the engineering problem. Here we have the implementation details which can not change (the horoscope) and the same emits results which are opposite to each other and conflicting in nature. As an expert engineer can tune the application to the conflicting requirements, as expert astrologer can tune and predict the horoscope.

Let us say we are predicting about the first child. It can be predicted from 5th house. My 5th house has Venus, Sun and Mercury in it. Venus in 5th house will give daughter where as Sun in 5th house will give son. Mercury has no effect. As per rule venus is powerless when present with sun, so it should give son. Wait a minute, my 5th house Taurus which is own house of Venus and Taurus itself is a feminine sign, so it should give female. So here is the second conflict, whether Venus will overpower sun as it is in her own sign or Sun will over power Venus. By looking at the strength from the vinsopaka bala Sun has a strength of 16.2 where as venus has a Strength of 16.3. So both of them have almost equal Strength. It shows a marginal Strength of Venus and thus a daughter. But when we look at the vimsottari dasha during that time (3rd May 2004), my dasha was Saturn-Venus. Venus was the anatardasha and venus was frind of Saturn which is the dasha, so venus was over powering sun during that time (opposite to the handbook word venus is powerless when present near Sun). So the subject will get a daughter.

If you look at any horoscope you may find both raja yoga and Daridra yoga. Will the person be a king or poor? Roughly 33 percent people has budhaaditya yoga. Will all of them be learned and intelligent? My answer is no to second questions and depends to first question.

When we create a horoscope in south indian style it is different than north indian style horoscope. Which one is true and how to predict. The details need more conflict resolution technique than simple answers.

DOB: 31-may.1976, 21:45 Nayagarh, Odisha

Astrology is an engineering act

This is subject which needs some understanding of astrology. It is not about getting the prediction, rather it is the prediction methodology is mature engineering methods and how astrology is part of engineering.

As an engineer I have the habit of looking details in an engineers eye. I found astrology uses many of the engineering techniques. This is the list of things why I think astrology is an engineering subject

1) Horoscope: What is horoscope? It is the snapshot of the universe when a person is born with the place of birth being the center of the universe. It tells you the relative position of planets with respect to the place where the person is born. Engineers use the maps more than others, so astrologers use engineering to get somebody's details. The same goes for prediction of a year or horray astrology. The crux of prediction is the relative position of planets.

2) Pattern recognition: Astrology uses pattern matching to predict the details. It uses patterns to figure out which house belongs to whom and how to predict based on the position of a planet at a specific position. This is pattern which is defined and its practiced based on pattern matching.

3) Separation of concern: Astrology uses separation of concern to predict the certain details. If you want to look at the age of a person look at 8th house, for property look at the 4th house and so on.

4) Derivation: It uses derivation to find out the responsibility of each house. 12th house is the house for expenditure. 12th to 12th is 11th house is the house of expenditure of expenditure (savings). 5th house is the house for first child. So 5th to 5th 9th house is the house of grand children and so on.

I will add more details in future.