Tuesday 7 June 2011

Astrology and match prediction

I have seen an astrological prediction of Ind vs WI 1st ODI. It is from the biggest astrological house of India http://www.ganeshaspeaks.com/blog_West_Indies_vs_India_ODI_Series_1st_ODI_Predictions_3241.jsp

Being a student of astrology, I do not know how to predict the result of a match. So I was curious to know the methodology in stead of the end result. The blog does not describe why it thinks so. The site does not own the result, rather it is the view of the individual astrologer. The prediction has three parts.

1) Key players: I do not understand what Ganesha speaks means by key players. Does it mean they are the players who will play a key role in the said match, or Ganesha speaks took the key player's horoscope to predict the match. So I reserve my view on the prediction.

2) TOSS PREDICTION: Any random guess will make it 50 percent correct. Prediction less than than is not acceptable.I have not seen enough prediction from Ganesha speaks on toss to validate the claim. However WI won the toss and the prediction went wrong.

3) Match Prediction: This can be better than 50 percent. WI team without Gayle is most probable going to loose the match. India will win the series 3-2/4-1/5-0. So India's win has a success rate of 60 to 100 percent. Astrologer have not given India will win by wickets or runs. If so what is the margin. How the match will shape up? When will team loose wicket etc. I understand it is more difficult to give the minor details than to predict who is going to win. But minor details can make your prediction credible. Anybody with a fair interest in cricket can predict the match with more than 60 percent probability.

So I would request the following from the Ganesha speaks team if the want to predict any further match.

1) Let the Ganesha speaks own the result predicted by their team member. The site and its owners do not undertake any responsibility for the correctness or accuracy of the same. How do the common people believe on the team and their correctness. Let us be honest and accept you are not able to give 100 percent correct result.

2) Give a brief analysis on how you concluded the results. Probable you are not interested in that as you are not here to teach astrology but to do business. Your explanation will give you more business as it gives reason behind your claim. It is not like you are making some claim which has a probability of more than 50 percent.

3) Let you predict toss for lots of match and publish it at a specific place. So one can see how many toss prediction has gone right. A single toss prediction right or wrong does not yield any value.

4) Be more clear on key player.

5) Give more detailed analysis. India will win the match is of little credibility where as WI will score something between 200 to 230. India will win it by 4-5 wickets. 3rd and 5th wicket stand will be crucial. There will be 2 half centuries. If team can give those predictions, the prediction is more credible and will sell to the people.

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