Sunday, 28 March 2010

Astrology and Probability

Astrology is about probability and correlation. The believers and nonbelievers treat it alike. Believers claim how some prediction has come true and how some astrologer is about to predict her details etc. Where as non believers say how some astrologer is not able to predict it. And how astrology is all wrong.

But astrology is about probability and correlation. It is about getting most of the predictions right. It is never about predicting everything right. Famous astrologer Dr. B V Raman made some mistake in his prediction. I do not have access to the all the predictions of the great astrologer Parasar. I am sure he also would have made some mistakes. It is like weather prediction, which can not be hundred percent accurate.

The great sage Vasistha has made wrong prediction for the muhurta when Ram will be the king resulting Rama going to forest for 14 years in stead of being made king of Ayodhya. Lord Brahma has made wrong prediction for the Muhurta when the Khandav Forest has to be implanted resulting an end to the Khandav. So astrology is prone to error and nobody can tell with certainty that this is going to happen. It is not like when you add alkali to acid, it gives salt water, or when a fruit falls from the tree, it is going to hit the ground. Rather it is most likely it is going to happen. Some of the facts can be told with a higher probability.

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